Key Issues |
· Total General Government Sector revenue is estimated to be $5 874.0 million in 2017‑18, an increase of $300.3 million above the 2016‑17 Budget estimate of $5 573.7 million. · Key components of General Government Sector revenue in 2017‑18 include: – GST Revenue is estimated to be $2 387.4 million, an increase of $88.2 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $2 299.2 million; – Australian Government Payments for Specific Purposes are estimated to be $1 251.6 million, an increase of $30 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $1 221.6 million; and – Taxation Revenue is estimated to be $1 128.5 million, an increase of $72.9 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $1 055.6 million. · Tasmania's share of revenue from Grants, including GST and Australian Government Grants for Specific Purposes, equates to 62.7 per cent of total General Government sector revenue. |
This chapter provides an overview of Revenue for the 2017‑18 Budget and Forward Estimates. Table 5.1 lists the major General Government Sector revenue sources.
Table 5.1: General Government Sector Revenue
|
2016-17) Budget) |
2017-18 ) |
2018-19) Estimate) |
2019-20) Estimate) |
2020-21) Estimate) |
|
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grants |
3 634.6) |
3 682.9 |
3 673.5 |
3 735.4 |
3 748.3 |
Taxation |
1 055.6) |
1 128.5 |
1 147.4 |
1 173.0 |
1 198.9 |
Sales of Goods and Services |
352.9) |
408.0 |
417.0 |
424.8 |
428.7 |
Fines and Regulatory Fees |
96.5) |
98.9 |
99.3 |
100.3 |
101.6 |
Interest Income |
16.5) |
19.6 |
17.6 |
16.0 |
17.2 |
Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income |
263.8) |
358.4 |
338.2 |
370.1 |
390.4 |
Other Revenue |
153.8) |
177.7 |
170.1 |
165.2 |
163.5 |
|
5 573.7) |
5 874.0 |
5 863.0 |
5 984.8 |
6 048.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
In 2017‑18, Total General Government Sector revenue is forecast to be $300.3 million higher than the 2016‑17 Budget.
Tasmania's most significant source of funding is Grants revenue (including GST and Australian Government Grants), which comprises 62.7 per cent of total revenue in 2017‑18. State Own‑Source Revenue accounts for 37.3 per cent of total revenue.
Chart 5.1 shows the composition of Total General Government Sector revenue over time.
Major revenue risks and sensitivities are discussed in chapter 1 of this Budget Paper. The major variances in revenue compared to the 2016‑17 Budget are discussed in the Policy and Parameter Statement in chapter 4 of this Budget Paper.
Chart 5.1: Composition of Total Revenue, 2007‑08 to 2020‑211
Notes:
1. Data reflects actual outcomes for 2007‑08 to 2015-16 and the original Budget estimates for 2016‑17.
2. Other Australian Government Grants includes Specific Purpose Payments and National Partnership Payments.
3. Other includes: Sales of Goods and Services; Fines and Regulatory Fees; Interest Income; Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income; Other Revenue; and Other Grants and Subsidies.
Grants primarily reflect transfers of funding from the Australian Government and are estimated to be $3 682.9 million in 2017‑18. This is an increase of $48.3 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $3 634.6 million.
Table 5.2: Grants
|
2016-17 Budget |
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
General Purpose Payments (Untied Funding) |
) |
|
) |
) |
) |
GST Revenue |
2 299.2 |
2 387.4 |
2 467.0 |
2 508.8 |
2 577.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payments for Specific Purposes (Tied Funding)1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Specific Purpose Payments2 |
|
|
|
|
|
To the State |
629.4 |
658.1 |
676.9 |
656.1 |
672.4 |
Through the State |
237.7 |
253.9 |
263.3 |
272.7 |
282.4 |
|
867.1 |
912.0 |
940.3 |
928.9 |
954.9 |
National Partnership Payments |
|
|
|
|
|
To the State |
283.2 |
266.6 |
140.9 |
174.6 |
91.1 |
Through the State |
71.3 |
73.0 |
74.7 |
77.2 |
79.7 |
|
354.5 |
339.6 |
215.6 |
251.8 |
170.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Payments for Specific Purposes |
1 221.6 |
1 251.6 |
1 155.9 |
1 180.7 |
1 125.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Grants and Subsidies3 |
113.8 |
43.9 |
50.7 |
46.0 |
45.2 |
Total |
3 634.6 |
3 682.9 |
3 673.5 |
3 735.4 |
3 748.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Estimates of Specific Purpose Payments and some National Partnership Payments may differ from those published in the Australian Government's 2017-18 Budget due to the need to finalise State estimates before the release of the Australian Government Budget.
2. Specific Purpose Payments include National Health Reform and Students First education reforms funding.
3. Other Grants and Subsidies primarily relate to payments to the State for Commonwealth Own Purpose Expenditure.
In accordance with the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations (IGA), transfers from the Australian Government fall into two categories:
· General Purpose Payments (GPPs), which are 'untied' payments that can be used at the State's discretion. The GST distribution is the only GPP received by Tasmania in 2017-18; and
· conditional (tied) funding in the form of Payments for Specific Purposes, including Specific Purpose Payments (SPPs), Reform Funding and National Partnership Payments (NPPs). These payments must only be spent for purposes as agreed with the Australian Government.
The Australian Government also provides payments directly to State agencies through Commonwealth Own Purpose Expenditure (COPEs). Most of these payments are made to the Department of Health and Human Services and the Tasmanian Health Service.
These payments reduce by $69.9 million in 2017-18, largely due to the agreement by the Tasmanian Government to resume ownership of the Mersey Community Hospital in exchange for a significant one-off Australian Government payment of $730.4 million which is expected to occur by 30 June 2017. This payment is included in the 2016-17 Estimated Outcome (see Appendix 3 of this Budget Paper).
The Australian Government Mersey Community Hospital payment will be transferred to the Tasmanian Public Finance Corporation (Tascorp) as a one-off equity contribution and will be invested by Tascorp with any returns to be retained in the Mersey Community Hospital Fund. The Government will introduce legislation to require Tascorp to pay each year a dividend equal to the operating costs of the Mersey Community Hospital, escalating at 3.5 per cent each year until cessation of the Fund. This dividend is shown in Table 5.9.
GST Revenue is the largest single source of revenue for Tasmania representing 40.6 per cent of Total General Government Sector revenue in 2017‑18.
In accordance with the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations, all GST Revenue collected by the Australian Government is distributed amongst the states and territories. Each state's GST entitlement is dependent on three factors: national GST collections, the state's per capita relativity and the state's share of the national population.
The Commonwealth Grants Commission (CGC) makes annual recommendations to the Australian Government Treasurer regarding each jurisdiction's relativity.
Tasmania has been assessed as having a higher per capita GST need than all other jurisdictions, except the Northern Territory, and is a major beneficiary of the equalisation process, receiving $1.1 billion, or approximately 81 per cent, more GST revenue in 2017‑18 than its per capita share. This reflects the relatively higher cost of service provision in the State and the below average capacity to raise revenue. Tasmania has the second lowest assessed fiscal capacity and Western Australia has the strongest assessed fiscal capacity.
Further detail on the CGC's methodology is provided in the Guide to the Budget (available on the Treasury website), and the Report on GST Revenue Sharing Relativities - 2017 Update (2017 Update Report), which can be found on the CGC website at www.cgc.gov.au.
For the 2017-18 Budget, Treasury has used its own financial model to forecast GST revenues, as was the case for the 2016‑17 Budget. The model incorporates the latest CGC assessments and recommended relativities, Australian Government forecasts of the GST pool and state populations, and state and territory own‑source revenue estimates.
Chart 5.2 below illustrates Tasmania's relativities since the introduction of the GST. The chart shows Tasmania's forecast relativities returning to trend after rising rapidly until 2015-16, primarily as a result of the additional royalty revenue generated in Western Australia and the other mining states during the mining boom.
Chart 5.2: Tasmanian GST Revenue Sharing Relativities, 2000-01 to 2020‑211
Note:
1. CGC calculation of relativities prepared on a consistent basis, with healthcare grants (pre 2009-10) treated by inclusion and five year averaging of single year relativities (prior to 2010-11) replaced with the current three year averaging method.
Table 5.3 shows GST Revenue estimates for the national pool and Tasmania.
Table 5.3: Tasmanian GST Revenue Estimates
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
|
) |
) |
) |
) |
|
National GST Collections ($m)1 |
62 340 |
65 590 |
67 670 |
71 540 |
Tasmania's GST Share (%)2 |
3.83 |
3.76 |
3.71 |
3.61 |
Tasmania's GST Revenue ($m)2 |
2 387 |
2 467 |
2 509 |
2 577 |
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. The National GST Collections are preliminary 2017-18 Australian Budget estimates provided by the Australian Government, due to the need to finalise State estimates before the release of the Australian Government Budget.
2. 2017‑18 Budget is based on the actual relativity that will apply in 2017‑18 as recommended by the CGC.
GST payments to Tasmania are expected to be $2 387.4 million in 2017‑18. The growth in GST revenue over the Forward Estimates to Tasmania reflects GST pool growth, offset by a gradual reduction in Tasmania’s GST relativity and lower than average population growth.
After rising during the mining boom, Tasmania's GST relativity is forecast to return towards the long-term trend over the Forward Estimates as a result of:
· comparatively weaker own-source revenue growth forecast in Western Australia and other resource‑rich states;
· slow population growth compared to the national average, which reduces the CGC’s assessment of Tasmania’s need to invest in infrastructure; and
· a slightly higher share of Commonwealth payments.
Chart 5.3 below illustrates the difference between the 2016-17 and 2017-18 State Budget estimates of GST revenue to Tasmania over the Forward Estimates. The compound annual growth rate of GST revenue from 2017‑18 to 2020‑21 is 2.6 per cent.
Tasmania's share of the GST pool has increased slightly from approximately 3.79 per cent in 2016‑17 to 3.83 per cent in 2017‑18.
Chart 5.3: GST Revenue to Tasmania, 2007‑08 to 2020‑21
Note:
1. The 2017-18 Budget includes the 2016-17 Estimated Outcome for GST Revenue.
SPPs are an ongoing funding arrangement between the Australian Government and the States for service delivery in a particular sector. There are currently three SPPs in operation: the National Skills and Workforce Development SPP; the National Disability Services SPP; and the National Affordable Housing SPP.
Reform funding arrangements, namely the National Health Reform Agreement and the Students First education reforms, replaced the former Health and Education SPPs as of July 2012 and January 2014 respectively.
In 2017-18, Tasmania will receive an estimated $912.0 million in SPPs and national health and education reform agreement funding. This is an increase of $44.9 million above the 2016-17 Budget estimate of $867.1 million. The growth in SPPs and reform funding primarily reflects an increase in National Health Reform and Students First education reform funding. The National Disability Services SPP ceases on 30 June 2019 with the commencement of the National Disability Insurance Full Scheme on 1 July 2019.
It is noted that estimates of SPPs and some National Partnership Payments may differ from those published in the Australian Government's 2017-18 Budget due to the need to finalise State estimates before the release of the Australian Government Budget.
National Partnership Payments (NPPs) are provided to each State through National Partnership Agreements and Project Agreements. The agreements are usually time‑limited and aim to support the delivery of projects, facilitate reforms within the State or reward the State for delivering on national reforms.
In 2017-18, Tasmania will receive an estimated $339.6 million of funding in NPPs, a decrease of $14.9 million from the 2016-17 Budget of $354.5 million. This primarily reflects the scheduled expiry of the Improving Health Services in Tasmania and Building Australia’s Future Workforce - National Partnership on skills reform NPPs at the end of 2016-17, and a smaller 2017-18 Redevelopment of the Royal Hobart Hospital payment. These decreases are partially offset by increases in funding under the Land Transport Infrastructure Projects and the Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements NPP in response to the 2016 fire and flood events.
Table 5.4 details the Payments for Specific Purposes that Tasmania will receive from the Australian Government in 2017-18 and over the Forward Estimates period.
Table 5.4: Commonwealth Payments for Specific Purposes1
|
2016-17 Budget |
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
Specific Purpose Payments |
|
|
|
) |
|
Health |
|
|
|
|
|
National Health Reform2 |
359.1 |
379.7 |
389.5 |
399.2 |
409.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Education |
|
|
|
) |
|
Students First ‑ Government Schools |
178.8 |
185.8 |
191.1 |
196.5 |
203.0 |
Students First ‑ Non‑Government Schools |
237.7 |
253.9 |
263.3 |
272.7 |
282.4 |
Total Education Specific Purpose Payments |
416.5 |
439.7 |
454.4 |
469.2 |
485.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
National Skills and Workforce Development |
31.3 |
31.4 |
34.4 |
31.5 |
31.5 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
National Disability Services |
31.7 |
32.4 |
33.1 |
.... |
.... |
|
|
|
|
|
|
National Affordable Housing |
28.5 |
28.8 |
28.8 |
28.9 |
29.0 |
Total Specific Purpose Payments |
867.1 |
912.0 |
940.3 |
928.9 |
954.9 |
Table 5.4: Commonwealth Payments for Specific Purposes1 (continued)
|
2016-17 Budget |
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
|
National Partnership Payments |
|
|
|
|
|
Health |
|||||
Health and Hospitals Fund |
|||||
Redevelopment of the Royal Hobart Hospital |
25.0 |
15.0 |
10.0 |
.... |
.... |
Improving Health Services in Tasmania |
|||||
Reducing elective surgery waiting lists in Tasmania |
7.5 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
John L Grove ‑ LGH |
5.0 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Essential vaccines |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
0.2 |
Expansion of the BreastScreen Australia Program |
0.4 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Public dental services for adults |
.... |
2.4 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Other3 |
…. |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
.... |
Total Health National Partnerships |
40.9 |
20.6 |
13.0 |
3.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Education |
|
|
|
|
|
Universal access to early childhood education |
8.6 |
6.1 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
National School Chaplaincy Program |
2.2 |
2.2 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Independent Public Schools Initiative |
0.6 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
National quality agenda for early childhood education and care |
.... |
0.3 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Online Safety program in schools |
.... |
0.1 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Total Education National Partnerships |
11.4 |
8.7 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Skills and Workforce Development |
|
|
|
|
|
Building Australia's Future Workforce - National Partnership on skills reform |
11.6 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Total Skills and Workforce Development National Partnerships |
11.6 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Community Services (including Disability) |
|
) |
|
|
|
DisabilityCare Australia Fund4 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
12.0 |
102.1 |
23.3 |
Transitioning Responsibilities for Aged Care and Disability Services |
10.1 |
10.5 |
10.8 |
.... |
.... |
Pay Equity for the Social and Community Services Sector |
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
.... |
.... |
Total Community Services (including Disability) National Partnerships |
18.5 |
20.1 |
29.4 |
102.1 |
23.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 5.4: Commonwealth Payments for Specific Purposes1 (continued)
|
2016-17 Budget |
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
Affordable Housing Homelessness |
2.8 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Total Affordable Housing National Partnerships |
2.8 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Infrastructure |
|||||
Land Transport Infrastructure Projects |
|
|
|
|
|
Road Component5 |
107.5 |
102.3 |
34.8 |
60.0 |
60.0 |
Rail Component |
20.4 |
13.8 |
14.4 |
.... |
.... |
Off-Network Projects ‑ Road |
15.5 |
39.6 |
18.8 |
2.1 |
.... |
Black Spot Projects |
8.3 |
4.9 |
1.6 |
.... |
.... |
Bridges Renewal program |
0.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
.... |
.... |
Heavy Vehicle Safety & Productivity Program |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
.... |
.... |
Asset Recycling Fund ‑ New Investments |
2.0 |
2.4 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Interstate Road Transport |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Developing demand driver infrastructure for the tourism industry |
0.8 |
1.6 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Total Infrastructure National Partnerships |
156.6 |
167.7 |
72.0 |
62.5 |
60.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Environment |
|
|
|
|
|
Sustainable Rural Water Use and Infrastructure Program |
18.7 |
19.0 |
14.0 |
.... |
.... |
Management of the World Heritage Values of the Tasmanian Wilderness |
1.8 |
1.7 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Other6 |
.... |
0.1 |
0.1 |
.... |
.... |
Total Environment National Partnerships |
20.5 |
20.8 |
14.1 |
.… |
.… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Services |
|
|
|
|
|
Financial assistance to local governments - Financial Assistance Grant program |
71.3 |
73.0 |
74.7 |
77.2 |
79.7 |
Legal Assistance Services |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements7 |
13.0 |
21.7 |
5.4 |
.... |
.... |
Community Legal Centres |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
Bushfire Mitigation |
0.4 |
.… |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Provision of Fire Services |
0.3 |
…. |
…. |
.... |
.... |
Total Other Services |
92.2 |
101.6 |
87.1 |
84.3 |
86.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total National Partnership Payments |
354.5 |
339.6 |
215.6 |
251.8 |
170.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 5.4: Commonwealth Payments for Specific Purposes1 (continued)
|
2016-17 Budget |
2017-18 Budget |
2018-19 Estimate |
2019-20 Estimate |
2020-21 Estimate |
|
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL PAYMENTS FOR SPECIFIC PURPOSES |
1 221.6 |
1 251.6 |
1 155.9 |
1 180.7 |
1 125.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total to the State |
912.6 |
924.7 |
817.8 |
830.8 |
763.5 |
|
Total through the State |
309.0 |
326.9 |
338.0 |
349.9 |
362.1 |
|
|
1 221.6 |
1 251.6 |
1 155.9 |
1 180.7 |
1 125.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Estimates of Specific Purpose Payments and some National Partnership Payments may differ from those published in the Australian Government's 2017-18 Budget due to the need to finalise State estimates before the release of the Australian Government Budget.
2. From 2017‑18 to 2019-20, the Australian Government has agreed to continue funding for Public Hospital services using activity based funding, capped at 6.5 per cent per annum nationally. However, given there is uncertainty with the quantum of funding under the new arrangements, funding based on previous growth trends has been assumed.
3. Includes funding for OzFoodNet and National Bowel Cancer Screening - participant follow-up function.
4. Estimates of DisabilityCare Australia Fund payments included in the 2017‑18 Budget and Forward Estimates reflect the Australian Government’s initial offer as set out in the bilateral transition agreement Tasmania signed in December 2015.
5. Provision included in 2019‑20 and 2020‑21 for future road funding on the expiry of the current agreement.
6. Includes funding for the National Whale Stranding Action Plan and Managing established pest animals and weeds.
7. Includes $36 000 funding for 2017-18 under the Natural Disaster Relief - Fire agreement.
In 2017‑18, State Taxation revenue is forecast to be $72.9 million higher than the 2016‑17 Budget, primarily due to increases in Conveyance Duty and Land Tax. The increase in Conveyance Duty is driven by growth in residential property prices and transaction volumes while the increase in Land Tax reflects a net increase in land values across the State, system enhancements leading to improvements in debt management and targeted compliance efforts.
State Taxation revenue is forecast to grow by $70.4 million (or by a compound annual growth rate of 2.0 per cent) from 2017‑18 to 2020‑21, due mainly to growth in tax bases for Payroll Tax and Land Tax (there is no change in the rate structure of either tax).
Table 5.5 provides details of the components of the State Taxation estimates. Definitions of the State taxes, including relevant legislation, can be found in the Glossary section of the Guide to the Budget.
Table 5.5: State Taxation
|
2016-17 |
2017-18 |
2018-19 |
2019-20 |
2020-21 |
|
Budget |
Budget |
Forward Estimate |
Forward Estimate |
Forward Estimate |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payroll tax |
331.1 |
338.7 |
349.2 |
360.3 |
371.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Taxes on property |
|||||
Land tax |
93.8 |
105.2 |
107.9 |
111.4 |
114.8 |
Fire service levies1 |
59.4 |
60.3 |
62.6 |
65.1 |
67.6 |
Government guarantee fees |
21.5 |
16.9 |
18.2 |
16.8 |
16.7 |
Conveyance duty2 |
191.2 |
246.8 |
241.6 |
244.0 |
246.3 |
365.9 |
429.2 |
430.3 |
437.3 |
445.4 |
|
Taxes on the provision of goods and services |
|||||
Gambling taxes |
|||||
Casino tax and licence fees |
56.4 |
54.9 |
55.0 |
55.2 |
55.6 |
Betting exchange taxes and levies3 |
3.4 |
.... |
.... |
.... |
.... |
Lottery tax |
30.6 |
30.4 |
30.9 |
31.4 |
32.0 |
Totalizator wagering levy |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
Insurance duty |
84.7 |
87.3 |
89.6 |
92.0 |
94.5 |
182.5 |
179.9 |
183.0 |
186.3 |
189.9 |
Table 5.5: State Taxation (continued)
|
2016-17 |
2017-18 |
2018-19 |
2019-20 |
2020-21 |
|
Budget |
Budget |
Forward Estimate |
Forward Estimate |
Forward Estimate |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Taxes on the use of goods and services |
|
|
|
|
|
Vehicle registration fees |
40.4 |
42.1 |
43.4 |
44.7 |
46.0 |
Motor vehicle fees and taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
Motor vehicle duty |
42.9 |
42.9 |
42.9 |
42.9 |
42.9 |
Motor tax |
85.0 |
87.7 |
90.0 |
92.4 |
94.8 |
Motor vehicle fire levy |
7.8 |
8.0 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
176.1 |
180.7 |
184.8 |
189.0 |
192.7 |
|
TOTAL STATE TAXATION |
1 055.6 |
1 128.5 |
1 147.4 |
1 173.0 |
1 198.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Fire service levies are reported as a tax for the purposes of the Uniform Presentation Framework. However, all revenues go directly to the State Fire Commission.
2. Conveyance duty is forecast to reduce slightly in 2018-19 due to an expected return towards trend levels of large commercial property transactions, which have been higher than usual in 2016-17 and are forecast to remain at elevated levels in 2017-18.
3. The reduction in Betting exchange taxes and levies from 2017-18 reflects the surrender by Betfair of its Tasmanian Gaming Licence.
Chart 5.4 shows that the 2017-18 Budget and Forward Estimates have increased compared to the levels forecast in the 2016‑17 Budget. This increase has been largely driven by Conveyance Duty due to growth in residential property prices and transaction volumes.
Chart 5.4: State Taxation Revenue, 2009‑10 to 2020‑21
Note:
1. This includes the 2016-17 Estimated Outcome for State Taxation Revenue. The increase in the 2016-17 Estimated Outcome compared to the 2016-17 Budget is due mainly to higher than expected revenue from Conveyance Duty and Land Tax.
This statement provides an estimate of the revenue the Government has forgone, or the financial benefit obtained by taxpayers, through concessions, benefits and incentives the Government provides through the tax system. Tax expenditures have been estimated for the main revenue lines of payroll tax, land tax and conveyance duty.
Tax exemptions, rebates and concessions are measured based on the revenue foregone approach, where the value of the revenue that would have been received if the standard rate of tax had been applied is estimated.
The methodology does not allow for any behavioural changes that may result if an exemption, rebate or concession was removed. The approach also does not allow for potential tax rate changes that may result if a tax exemption, rebate or concession were removed.
Where thresholds are removed, the resulting measure of expenditure is labelled a tax free threshold in the table below. The tax expenditure, or revenue foregone, associated with providing tax free thresholds has been calculated for payroll tax.
All other expenditure measures included in Table 5.6 are measured as deviations from the current tax settings.
Table 5.6: Estimated Major Tax Expenditures
|
2016‑17 |
2017-18 |
|
$m |
$m |
Payroll Tax1 |
|
|
Tax-free threshold |
215.0 |
191.9 |
Educational institutions exemption |
1.2 |
15.3 |
Health care service provider exemptions |
1.1 |
4.7 |
Employer payroll tax rebate for additional positions created |
1.7 |
4.2 |
|
219.0 |
216.1 |
Land Tax2 |
|
|
Principal place of residence exemption |
111.2 |
116.9 |
Primary production land exemption |
79.8 |
95.4 |
Religious bodies, charitable institutions, or educational institutions exemption |
6.7 |
6.6 |
Other3 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
|
201.4 |
222.7 |
Table 5.6: Estimated Major Tax Expenditures (continued)
|
2016‑17 |
2017-18 |
|
$m |
$m |
Conveyance Duty4 |
|
|
Ex gratia relief provided for corporate reconstructions |
2.0 |
0.7 |
Family farm transfers |
2.0 |
2.3 |
Transfer of public road or park/garden to council |
1.8 |
2.4 |
Relationship breakdown or spouse and significant relationship transfers5 |
11.2 |
13.2 |
Other6 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
|
20.4 |
22.0 |
|
|
|
TOTAL |
440.8 |
460.8 |
|
|
|
Notes:
1. While the 2016-17 estimates reflect the approach used for the 2016-17 Budget, the 2017-18 estimate for Payroll Tax expenditure reflects the use of all wages paid in Tasmania based on 2015-16 Work Cover data. Estimates are based on the expected growth in Payroll Tax revenue.
2. The Land Tax base is all freehold land in Tasmania in 2016‑17. Estimates are based on the expected growth in Land Tax revenue. Land classified as principal place of residence (PPR) and primary production land (PPL) is charged a nil rate of Land Tax. Property used for religious, charitable or educational purposes is exempt from Land Tax.
3. Comprises land owned by the Commonwealth, aged care providers and charitable organisations.
4. The Conveyance Duty tax base is comprised of concessional or exempt properties transferred in 2015‑16. Estimates are based on the expected growth in Conveyance Duty revenue. Not all exempt transactions are recorded and not all valuation data is available, therefore the estimates are likely to be understated.
5. The estimate for 2017-18 includes transfers under the Relationship Act 2003 between carers and relatives which was previously included in ‘Other’.
6. Comprises transfers to a special trustee under section 37 of the Duties Act 2001 and instances where there is no change in beneficial ownership.
Other Revenue Sources
Revenue from the Sales of Goods and Services is estimated to be $408.0 million in 2017-18, an increase of $55.1 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $352.9 million.
Table 5.7 details the major components of revenue from the Sales of Goods and Services.
Table 5.7: Sales of Goods and Services1
|
2018-19) |
2019-20) |
2020-21) |
||
|
Budget) |
Budget) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
|
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Departmental Fees and Recoveries |
|
|
|
|
|
Education |
36.8) |
37.3) |
37.6) |
38.3) |
38.8) |
Finance-General |
0.1) |
0.1) |
0.1) |
0.1) |
0.1) |
Health and Human Services |
69.0) |
68.2) |
68.5) |
69.3) |
70.3) |
Justice |
3.8) |
3.9) |
4.0) |
4.1) |
4.2) |
Marine and Safety Tasmania |
3.9) |
5.5) |
3.9) |
3.0) |
5.2) |
Police, Fire and Emergency Management |
2.1) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
Premier and Cabinet |
8.8) |
9.4) |
9.4) |
9.5) |
9.5) |
Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment2 |
40.8) |
45.3) |
45.9) |
46.4) |
47.1) |
State Fire Commission |
6.0) |
6.1) |
6.2) |
6.4) |
6.5) |
State Growth |
9.4) |
9.5) |
9.6) |
9.7) |
9.8) |
Tasmanian Audit Office |
5.6) |
5.7) |
5.7) |
5.7) |
5.7) |
Tasmanian Health Service3 |
140.3) |
187.6) |
195.8) |
201.4) |
199.7) |
TasTAFE |
24.5) |
25.7) |
26.4) |
27.2) |
28.0) |
|
351.1) |
406.5) |
415.4) |
423.3) |
427.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Sales of Goods and Services |
1.8) |
1.5) |
1.5) |
1.6) |
1.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL SALES OF GOODS AND SERVICES |
352.9) |
408.0) |
417.0) |
424.8) |
428.7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. The information provided in this section may differ from the Sales of Goods and Services for each agency in Government Services Budget Paper No 2 due to the elimination of inter-agency transactions during the consolidation process.
2. The increase in 2017-18 and the Forward Estimates primarily reflects the recognition of revenue associated with the Three Capes Track.
3. The increase in 2017-18 and over the Forward Estimates primarily reflects new funding associated with the listing of Hepatitis C medications on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.
Revenue from Fines and Regulatory Fees is estimated to be $98.9 million in 2017-18, an increase of $2.4 million above the 2016-17 Budget of $96.5 million. Table 5.8 details the major components of Fines and Regulatory Fees.
Table 5.8: Fines and Regulatory Fees1
|
2016-17) |
2017-18) |
2018-19) |
2019-20) |
2020-21) |
|
Budget) |
Budget) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
|
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fines |
|
|
|
|
|
Commitment to Increase Fines Revenue |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
Other Fines2 |
21.1) |
21.1 |
20.7 |
20.7 |
20.8 |
|
24.10 |
24.1) |
23.7) |
23.7) |
23.8) |
Fees |
|
|
|
|
|
Abalone Licences |
5.4) |
5.9) |
5.9) |
6.0) |
6.1) |
Water Licence Fees |
1.9) |
2.0) |
2.0) |
2.1) |
2.1) |
Environment Fees |
4.7) |
4.7) |
4.8) |
4.8) |
4.9) |
Drivers Licences |
7.2) |
7.0) |
7.1) |
7.2) |
7.3) |
Photo Licence Fees |
1.7) |
1.7) |
1.8) |
1.8) |
1.8) |
Vehicle Inspection Services Fees3 |
....) |
....) |
....) |
....) |
0.1) |
Quarantine Fees |
1.2) |
1.2) |
1.3) |
1.3) |
1.4) |
Consumer Affairs Office Regulatory Fees |
0.6) |
0.6) |
0.6) |
0.6) |
0.6) |
Magisterial Courts Regulatory Fees |
1.2) |
0.7) |
0.7) |
0.7) |
0.7) |
Registrar-General Regulatory Fees |
1.9) |
1.9) |
1.9) |
2.0) |
2.0) |
Supreme Court Regulatory Fees |
0.8) |
1.3) |
1.3) |
1.4) |
1.4) |
Other Regulatory Fees4 |
45.7) |
47.7) |
48.1) |
48.7) |
49.5) |
|
72.3) |
74.8) |
75.6) |
76.5) |
77.9) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.5) |
98.9) |
99.3) |
100.3) |
101.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. The information provided in this section may differ from the Fines and Regulatory Fees for each agency in Government Services Budget Paper No 2 due to the elimination of inter-agency transactions during the consolidation process.
2. Other Fines is primarily comprised of fines collected by the Department of Justice, Inland Fisheries Service and the Department of Police, Fire and Emergency Management.
3. Vehicle Inspection Services Fees are estimated to be $47 000 in 2017-18, increasing to $48 000 in 2018‑19, $49 000 in 2019-20 and $50 000 in 2020-21. This amount does not appear in the Table until 2020‑21 due to rounding.
4. Other Regulatory Fees includes: the Tasmanian Economic Regulator; the Community Support Levy; and various other fees collected by agencies, such as recreational fishing licence fees.
Interest Income is estimated to be $19.6 million in 2017-18, an increase of $3.1 million compared to the 2016‑17 Budget estimate of $16.5 million. The increase reflects higher interest rates.
Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income
Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income is estimated to be $358.4 million in 2017‑18, an increase of $94.6 million compared to the 2016‑17 Budget estimate of $263.8 million. This increase is largely due to the forecast dividend payable by Tascorp of $78.1 million in 2017-18 equal to the operating costs of the Mersey Community Hospital (as detailed in the Grants section of this Chapter).
Chart 5.5: Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income, 2009‑10 to 2020‑211
Note:
1. Data reflects actual outcomes for 2009‑10 to 2015‑16 and the original Budget estimates for 2016‑17.
Table 5.9: Dividend, Tax and Rates Equivalent Income1
|
2019-20) |
2020-21) |
|||
|
Budget) |
Budget) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
Forward) Estimate) |
|
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends |
|
|
|
|
|
Aurora Energy Pty Ltd2 |
20.9) |
16.9 |
19.3 |
17.5 |
16.8 |
Hydro Tasmania3 |
….) |
….) |
12.0 |
30.1 |
73.6 |
Motor Accidents Insurance Board4 |
43.8) |
56.9 |
46.4 |
38.1 |
32.5 |
Tasmanian Networks Pty Ltd5 |
59.5) |
73.5 |
30.1 |
38.9 |
43.3 |
Tasmanian Ports Corporation6 |
....) |
3.7 |
5.1 |
9.3 |
9.6 |
Tasmanian Public Finance Corporation7 |
5.1) |
4.0 |
4.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
|
129.4) |
155.0 |
116.9 |
134.1 |
177.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Special Dividends |
|
|
|
|
|
TT-Line Company Pty Ltd8 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
…. |
|
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
…. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mersey Community Hospital Dividend |
|
|
|
|
|
Tasmanian Public Finance Corporation9 |
…. |
78.1 |
80.9 |
83.7 |
86.6 |
|
…. |
78.1 |
80.9 |
83.7 |
86.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Taxation Equivalents |
|
|
|
|
|
Aurora Energy Pty Ltd |
7.2 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
Hydro Tasmania10 |
7.2 |
11.4 |
18.4 |
35.0 |
43.1 |
Motor Accidents Insurance Board |
6.2 |
17.7 |
17.1 |
18.4 |
19.6 |
Public Trustee |
…. |
0.1 |
…. |
…. |
…. |
Tasmanian Networks Pty Ltd11 |
56.2 |
31.8 |
35.8 |
37.9 |
41.7 |
Tasmanian Ports Corporation Pty Ltd12 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
Tasmanian Public Finance Corporation7 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
TT-Line Company Pty Ltd13 |
7.0 |
3.4 |
6.8 |
0.1 |
…. |
|
90.2 |
81.0 |
96.0 |
107.8 |
122.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rates Equivalents |
|
|
|
|
|
Hydro Tasmania |
4.2) |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
|
4.2) |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL DIVIDEND TAX AND RATE EQUIVALENT INCOME |
263.8) |
358.4 |
338.2 |
370.1 |
390.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. All Dividend, Tax and Rate Equivalent Income is reported on an accrual basis for all years.
2. The reduction in Dividends payable by Aurora Energy Pty Ltd in 2017-18 is due to lower profit estimates due to the Tasmanian Economic Regulator's Final 2016 Retail Price Determination.
3. The increased dividends from Hydro Tasmania are due to improved operating conditions subsequent to the Basslink outage and low inflow period during 2015-16. The business will make a gradual return to its normal dividend policy over the Budget period. A zero dividend is still expected in 2017-18 but the business will return to a full dividend payment by 2020-21. The recent significant increase in wholesale electricity prices was not factored into Hydro Tasmania's returns to government in the 2017‑18 Budget.
4. The increase in Dividends from the Motor Accidents Insurance Board in 2017-18 reflects the expectation of increased profitability in 2016-17, predominately due to lower claims expenses. The gradual reduction in Dividends from 2018‑19 reflects the impact of returning to a 50 per cent dividend payout ratio on the MAIB’s five year rolling average dividend policy.
5. The decline in Dividends from Tasmanian Networks Pty Ltd in 2018-19 reflects the forecast decrease in regulated distribution and transmission revenues over the period.
6. The increase in Dividends and Income Tax Equivalents from Tasmanian Ports Corporation Pty Ltd across the Budget and Forward Estimates period reflects the progressive return to profitability as the community asset maintenance program concludes and forecast freight volumes increase.
7. Tascorp is subject to a fixed cash lump sum dividend and income tax equivalent regime. In addition, discretionary dividends can be paid if circumstances warrant. The reduction in 2019-20 reflects that no additional discretionary dividends are expected to be paid.
8. The Special Dividends from TT-Line Company Pty Ltd are contributions from the company to be deposited into the TT‑Line Vessel Replacement Fund for the purpose of accruing funds for the future replacement of the TT-Line passenger ferries.
9. The one-off payment received by the Tasmanian Government for resuming ownership of the Mersey Community Hospital is to be transferred to Tascorp as a one-off equity contribution and will be invested by Tascorp, with an annual dividend to be paid equal to the indexed operating costs of the Mersey Community Hospital from 2017-18 until cessation of the Mersey Community Hospital Fund.
10. The increase in Income Tax Equivalents from Hydro Tasmania across the Budget and Forward Estimates period reflect improved operating conditions and an increase in profitability following the Basslink outage and low inflow period during 2015‑16. The recent significant increase in wholesale electricity prices was not factored into Hydro Tasmania's returns to government in the 2017‑18 Budget.
11. The decrease in Income Tax Equivalents from Tasmanian Networks Pty Ltd in 2017-18 is the result of reduced profitability due to lower forecast regulated revenues.
12. The increase in Income Tax Equivalents from Tasmanian Ports Corporation Pty Ltd across the Budget and Forward Estimates period reflects the progressive return to profitability as the community asset maintenance program concludes and forecast freight volumes increase.
13. Income Tax Equivalents for TT-Line Company Pty Ltd across the Budget and Forward Estimates period are driven by expected movements in the exchange rate which affect the valuation of the vessels and no Income Tax Equivalents are expected from 2020-21 due to the application of a shipping income tax exemption.
Other Revenue
Other Revenue is anticipated to be $177.7 million in 2017-18, an increase of $23.9 million above the 2016‑17 Budget of $153.8 million.
Table 5.10 lists the sources of Other Revenue.
Table 5.10: Other Revenue1
|
2016-17)
Budget) |
2017-18)
Budget) |
2018-19) Forward) Estimate) |
2019-20) Forward) Estimate) |
2020-21) Forward) Estimate) |
|
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
$m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mineral Royalties2 |
20.3) |
41.1) |
38.8) |
36.3) |
34.5) |
Regional Water Authority Licence Fees |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
Other Revenue by Agency |
|
|
|
|
|
Education |
25.9) |
27.2) |
27.5) |
27.8) |
27.0) |
Finance-General3 |
3.6) |
10.2) |
3.6) |
3.6) |
3.6) |
Health and Human Services |
27.5) |
27.0) |
27.2) |
27.8) |
28.2) |
Justice |
22.7) |
23.7) |
26.4) |
24.5) |
24.9) |
Police, Fire and Emergency Management |
11.2) |
10.8) |
10.6) |
10.0) |
10.0) |
Premier and Cabinet |
1.7) |
1.8) |
1.8) |
1.8) |
1.8) |
Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment |
1.5) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
2.3) |
State Fire Commission |
1.4) |
1.4) |
1.5) |
1.5) |
1.5) |
State Growth |
2.0) |
3.2) |
2.0) |
2.0) |
2.0) |
Treasury and Finance |
1.3) |
1.4) |
1.3) |
1.0) |
1.0) |
Tasmanian Health Service4 |
30.6) |
22.4) |
22.4) |
21.7) |
21.7) |
Other5 |
1.7) |
2.7) |
2.5) |
2.5 |
2.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
153.8) |
177.7) |
170.1) |
165.2) |
163.5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. The information provided in this section may differ from Other Revenue estimates for each agency in Government Services Budget Paper No 2 due to the elimination of inter-agency transactions during the consolidation process.
2. The increase in Mineral Royalties across the Budget and Forward Estimates reflects a rise in mineral prices, particularly iron ore, based on advice from Mineral Resources Tasmania.
3. The increase to revenue to Finance-General in 2017-18 primarily reflects the State's current estimate pursuant to property catastrophe insurance for covered items damaged during the June 2016 flood event.
4. The decrease in Tasmanian Health Service in 2017-18 is primarily due to the completion of the Training More Specialist Doctors initiative, which was funded by the Australian Government through the medical professional colleges.
5. Other includes: The Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions, Inland Fisheries Service, Ministerial and Parliamentary Support, Office of the Ombudsman, Royal Tasmanian Botanical Gardens, Tasmanian Audit Office and Tourism Tasmania.